Monday, April 24, 2017

Recent buy: BDX

Today BDX announced they purchased BCR for a 20% premium. I hold shares in both but my position in BCR is small. It was however a very nice gain and I am sure BCR will serve BDX well in the long run. I expect a lot of synergies and cost savings along with EPS growth for BDX after the acquisition.

I have a large holding in BDX and I added 19 shares today. I spent around $3400 on BDX. If it falls more I plan to add more to BDX. BDX and JNJ are two of my favorite dividend aristocrat healthcare companies. They have consistently increasing earnings and dividend increases for many many decades, even during economic recessions. They provide products and equipment we need since health is very important for people and when you're sick you will eventually spend money on health equipment. Healthcare companies are also in a good spot for the next several decades as the baby boomer population hits old age, which usually results in higher healthcare costs.

Thursday, April 20, 2017

Recent buy: JNJ, PM, ITW

Today I purchased the following companies.

JNJ: 57 shares - $6947
PM: 24 shares - $2623
ITW: 14 shares - $1879

Wednesday, April 12, 2017

March 2017 Portfolio Summary

I will report March's summary using data I have today on April 12, 2017. The growth so far this Q1 has been high due to the growth in the market and bonuses or nonrecurring sources. I am currently ahead of schedule for 2017 so a market correction will be fine by me to scoop up better dividend yields.

The goal of this portfolio is income replacement. I will one day use the passive dividend checks I receive every month from my various holdings to pay for my daily living expenses, whether it be housing or food or travel or entertainment. Everything will eventually be covered without me having to work. My plan is also to have this income stream grow independently without me having to contribute. Each of these companies are expected to increase their dividend payouts year after year. And many of these companies have consistently done so no matter the economic environment. As of today, I contribute heavily into the portfolio month after month. Hence, most of the dividend growth is caused by my contributions. In the future however I expect the portfolio to grow the income by itself at a rate of 10% y/y with dividends reinvested (so a $100,000 income becomes $110,000 the next year and then $121,000 the next and $133,100 the next, and so on).

I hold mainly defensive companies that provide products and services we use everyday no matter what. Whether we are unemployed, sick, or in a recession, people will likely buy products or services from the companies that I own. These are things like credit card payment services (Visa), toilet paper, food, water, electric utilities, off the shelf medicine, toothpaste, shampoo, and household/industrial cleaning products. This ensures that the companies can successfully pay their dividends safely every year.

I am a technical professional working in the bay area. Before accounting for taxes, I strive to save and invest 70-80% of my income (before tax salary - living expenses) / (before tax salary). Since I am single and in my 20s (no mortgage or family finances yet), I am able to grind through and grow this portfolio very quickly. I think time is my most valuable asset, not so much the income I can generate. Compounding from investment income and returns is a much faster way to grow wealth I think than having a higher income once you factor in time. Compounding as a function of time is exponential while accruing income by spending one's hours is only a function of linear growth with time as the variable. So I tried to get started in investing right after I graduated from university.

My goal is to reach $1,000,000 by age 31-33, depending on market fluctuations. By then the portfolio should be spitting out $25,000 in passive income every year or $2083 a month. I expect this $1M portfolio to be able to passively grow the income at 10% a year with dividends reinvested, or ~$2500 for the first couple years after hitting $1M. The portfolio shown below has been the result of my work over a period of 3-4 years. I started from $0 and so far I am a third of the way towards my goal of $1M dollars.

Currently my portfolio receives $7500 annually in passive dividend income. This number can be even higher if I did not have nearly $65,000 in cash. I plan to deploy more cash to boost my dividend income in the future, but deals are hard to come by in today's expensive market.

Friday, April 7, 2017

The April Plan

My taxes are done, there will be a tax return I will get this month that I would like to use on stocks. Along with the cash I have been saving from my income, the amount I plan to spend will be in the 5 figures.

The problem now is that most of the stock market has run up a lot and everything is expensive. My goal is income accumulation and not necessarily buy and sell. So higher stock prices have to me a downside of acquiring less income per share than before, however since I do not have any desire to sell shares that I buy, a decrease in share price will not be a problem for me.

I have recently switched brokerages so I will be able to get several free trades per month due to the balance of my portfolio. Hence, this list is quite large.

Here are some names I am thinking of to add this month. I am trying to pick primarily higher yielding companies.

FOUNDATION PICKS:

Altria (MO): This well run company paying copious dividends has pulled back nicely. I always buy on the dips on Altria. MO yields 3.4%

Philip Morris (PM): The highest yielding stock I'm considering from this list. Its yield is 3.7% and has strong growth prospects with IQOS and the international population usage of cigarettes has a much higher growth potential than the US. The company is also hampered by the strong dollar, and when that goes down PM's earnings will increase substantially.

Procter (PG): Still expensive but it's pulling back. I like PG at a 3% yield or above and that's where it sits now.

Kimberly (KMB): Also a bit expensive but it's rolling back down. I like this company at a 3% or above and it's sitting around 3% now.

Coca Cola (KO): The no growth loser. It yields around 3.5% now which is a nice yield in today's market. I will consider buying KO not for growth but as a "bond" that grows with inflation.

Clorox (CLX): Still at a high but pulling back a little bit. It yields 2.40% which is not very high but it's one of the few companies that can still grow organically.

General Mills (GIS): Downgrades and less than stellar earnings is causing this staple name to fall back even more. It now yields 3.3%

Hormel (HRL): Hormel is a small yielding company at 2%. The company shows impressive growth but I feel it is experiencing PE contraction right now (sits at around a P/E of 20 which is much lower than what it was in the past). The price has not moved since the beginning of 2016.

JM Smucker (SJM): Nice pull back on this consumer staple company that is very defensive. It's at 2.32% now and has strong growth as well. A bit expensive with a P/E of 22.


"TRUMP" INDUSTRIAL PICKS:
3M (MMM): I'm late to industrials but my weighting in industrials is too light. So I need a few high quality names to have small additional positions added to. 3M is the highest quality in my opinion and it yields now 2.5% which is not bad for the amount it has run up. 3M's recent dividend increase was only a modest 6% hike. My strategy for industrials (since I am buying at a high) is to buy a small position now and then buy more as the companies drop due to bad news or slow downs.

Illinois Tool Works (ITW): ITW is more cyclical than 3M but it is also a very well diversified industrial. It yields only 2% but increases its dividend at a high pace when the economy is good. It's recent increase from 0.55 to 0.65 was a 18% hike. Industrials pull back hard when the economy slows down. I don't want to overload on ITW right now but want to have a starter position. For example, add $3000 now, and when it drops 10% add another $3000. Since this position is long term, I have no plans to sell and buying at a lower price will just give me the benefit of getting more dividends per share.



HIGH GROWTH PICKS:
Visa (V) / MasterCard (MA): Both of these are very high growth and offer non-existent dividends. However, these dividends grow quickly. V yields 0.74% and MA yields 0.78%. I'm expecting V and MA to grow their dividends by 15-20%. The future is cashless.

Becton (BDX): Very consistent grower health care equipment company yielding 1.6%. BDX is usually very conservative with increases, so I'm expecting a 10% hike.

Ross (ROST) / TJX Companies (TJX): These are more speculative since they are brick and mortar. However, their past performance has been impressive and I believe they offer a niche store style that customers will always flock to even during bad times (they are the discount store that sells brand name products). TJX recently hiked their dividend 20%. from 0.260 to 0.313. It has done this consistently in the past and I believe it will continue in the future. I expect similar growth with ROST.

Saturday, April 1, 2017

March 2017 Dividends Received

I cashed in $644 for March 2017. The goal of this portfolio is income growth and March was another month showing growth in my passive income. All dividends were reinvested back into the stocks that paid them. My estimates for now indicate that in April I will be able to get $820 and for May I'm planning on getting $350.

Ticker      Total    Taxable    Roth IRA         401k
HD $84.30 $21.11 $63.19
JNJ $78.58 $73.56 $5.02
PEP $57.87 $33.45 $24.42
KHC $55.52 $55.52
D $44.84 $6.12 $38.72
O $41.25 $33.88 $7.37
MMM $41.13 $41.13
SO $31.94 $31.94
BDX $31.94 $31.94
MCD $30.40 $30.40
NEE $29.73 $29.73
CHD $26.75 $14.88 $11.87
ROST $26.10 $26.10
Interest $20.95 $20.95
V $20.85 $15.05 $5.80
TJX $14.05 $14.05
WEC $12.63 $12.63
SJM $10.34 $10.34
WTR $5.98 $5.98
$665.15 $474.88 $33.88 $156.39

Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Recent buy: GIS $2124

An order for 36 shares of GIS was placed today. The trades should be executed tomorrow morning. It will total around $2124 which is around $70 in dividends additionally every year.

Tuesday, March 21, 2017

Recent buy: $3599 HRL + $3000 PEP

Greetings,

Today $3599 was spent on buying shares of Hormel.

And another $3000 was spent on PepsiCo.  In my earlier post in the blog, I talked about GIS. I decided in the end on PepsiCo (PEP) over General Mills (GIS) because I liked the diversity and growth prospects of PEP more than GIS, despite PEP having a slightly lower yield.

Happy investing
-YD

Sunday, March 19, 2017

Upcoming purchase: GIS HRL

The stock market has had an incredible run. This has helped the paper value of my assets, however it makes buying stocks very difficult.  At this point I've resorted to finding stocks that have not experienced the recent run up. Or if I want to purchase companies that have run up, I will buy the ones that have the highest growth potential (slow growing companies with high P/Es just doesn't make too much sense).

I really like the food consumer staples sector. It is defensive and the products still sell during recessionary times. Right now I have $6600 ready to allocate to this sector. I will also have $2000 next week for another purchase and will continue thinking about that purchase.

If the buys go through, GIS will become a 5-figure position in my portfolio and HRL will be a starting position. I have right now 8 positions that are 5-figures. It's great seeing my portfolio grow and grow over the years through my contributions and individual company growth.

General Mills is the traditional old school boring food stock. It yields 3.2% and has a slow single digit dividend growth. Sometimes GIS holds its dividend flat for several years but they have been paying dividends for over a hundred years straight. It is a defensive company that will still hold its own during recessionary times. The company is facing headwinds now as consumers look to healthy organic alternatives to processed food. I am confident GIS can weather the storm, and if its enterprise value falls I am sure someone like Kraft Heinz will scoop in to buy out the company.


Hormel historically been a high growth company with a small dividend. It recently increased its dividend by 17% and it has been an impressive dividend paying company for many decades. HRL is a dividend aristocrat yielding almost 2% now. Hormel's stats are very impressive. Year after year their earnings and revenues increase even with a slight blip in revenues from 2008-2009. The company has a very stable payout at 36% and the credit rating is high at "A". HRL has been flat for many months since the growth has failed to keep up with its escalating P/E ratio. HRL is starting to look more fair value compared to the days it was hitting $45 a share!

I sold HRL in Dec'16 for tax loss harvesting and right now the share price is around the same as when I sold it. I would like to get HRL back so this would be a good time to re-enter.


Both GIS and HRL are relatively "small" companies. GIS is around 35 Billion and HRL is only 18 Billion. The supermarket aisles are packed full now with many different brands trying to compete for aisle real estate. It's hard to expand and grow as a food company. There also is not much to innovate in terms of food besides going organic.

What many companies do now in the packaged foods space is to acquire other companies through cheap debt. By issuing the debt, they can increase their revenues and earnings. Cost cutting through synergies can also be done as seen by 3G's extreme efficiency measures on Kraft and Heinz. If the price of GIS and HRL fall or continue to stagnate, it's almost guaranteed a large buyer will come in to gobble them up eventually.

However, I don't recommend buying a company based on take over potential. Instead I want to buy a company I would want to own for the very long term (30+ years) because of their business fundamentals. Both of these companies have proven their resileance by lasting many many decades. Both of these companies are older than my grandparents. I have faith they will continue producing spam and cereal after I am no longer here.


-YD

Wednesday, March 1, 2017

February 2017 Portfolio Summary

I did not post this back in March. So I am filling this post out today (Apr 12 2017) so that my future self can have records of my past months. This report will just contain data.

This is the snapshot of my portfolio as of March 1, 2017:

Name Ticker Sector       Value   Weight        Divies      Yield S&P Fin VL Fin VL Safety
Altria Group Inc MO Staples $49,578.75 16.15% $1,600.80 3.2288% A- B+ 2
Philip Morris International Inc PM Staples $17,542.61 5.71% $662.17 3.7746% A B++ 2
Home Depot Inc HD Discret $14,000.33 4.56% $337.20 2.4085% A A++ 1
Johnson & Johnson JNJ Health $12,159.37 3.96% $314.32 2.5850% AAA A++ 1
Realty Income Corp O REIT $11,824.41 3.85% $495.79 4.1929% BBB+ A 2
Visa Inc V Financial $11,220.37 3.65% $83.40 0.7433% A+ A++ 1
Ross Stores Inc ROST Discret $10,976.77 3.58% $88.38 0.8051% A- A 2
Starbucks Corporation SBUX Discret $10,563.35 3.44% $166.50 1.5762% A A++ 1
PepsiCo PEP Staples $8,502.64 2.77% $231.48 2.7225% A A++ 1
Kraft Heinz Co KHC Staples $8,466.07 2.76% $222.06 2.6230% BBB- A 2
Kimberly-Clark KMB Staples $8,393.97 2.73% $243.69 2.9031% A A++ 1
Becton Dickinson and Co BDX Health $8,081.41 2.63% $127.77 1.5810% BBB+ A++ 1
General Mills, Inc. GIS Staples $7,845.84 2.56% $248.05 3.1615% BBB+ A+ 1
McCormick & Company MKC Staples $7,347.42 2.39% $138.92 1.8908% A- A+ 1
Church & Dwight CHD Staples $7,018.63 2.29% $101.37 1.4443% BBB+ A+ 1
3M Co MMM Industrial $6,627.38 2.16% $164.54 2.4827% AA- A++ 1
Mastercard Inc MA Financial $6,376.38 2.08% $50.22 0.7875% A A++ 1
The Coca-Cola Co KO Staples $5,202.83 1.69% $181.27 3.4840% AA- A++ 1
Dominion Resources, Inc D Utilities $4,546.79 1.48% $179.35 3.9446% BBB+ B++ 2
Automatic Data Proc, Inc ADP Tech $4,484.62 1.46% $97.85 2.1818% AA A++ 1
TJX Companies Inc TJX Discret $4,258.23 1.39% $56.19 1.3195% A+ A++ 1
McDonald's Corporation MCD Discret $4,135.68 1.35% $121.58 2.9398% BBB+ A++ 1
Xcel Energy Inc XEL Utilities $3,964.75 1.29% $130.59 3.2937% A- A+ 1
NextEra Energy Inc NEE Utilities $3,957.58 1.29% $118.91 3.0046% A- A 2
Air Products & Chemicals, Inc APD Materials $3,957.08 1.29% $107.78 2.7236% A A+ 1
Procter & Gamble Co PG Staples $3,784.11 1.23% $112.06 2.9613% AA- A++ 1
Stryker Corporation SYK Health $3,442.16 1.12% $44.94 1.3057% A A++ 1
AT&T Inc T Telecom $3,121.86 1.02% $145.65 4.6656% BBB+ A++ 1
Southern Co SO Utilities $2,872.84 0.94% $127.76 4.4471% A- A 2
Abbott Laboratories ABT Health $2,723.02 0.89% $63.79 2.3425% BBB A++ 1
Colgate-Palmolive Co CL Staples $2,623.52 0.85% $55.61 2.1199% AA- A+ 1
Medtronic plc MDT Health $2,317.28 0.75% $48.69 2.1011% A A++ 1
Verizon Communications Inc VZ Telecom $2,227.75 0.73% $102.74 4.6117% BBB+ A++ 1
Clorox Co CLX Staples $1,974.36 0.64% $46.14 2.3371% A- B++ 2
The J. M. Smucker Company SJM Staples $1,937.41 0.63% $41.37 2.1354% BBB A++ 1
Bard (C.R.) Inc BCR Health $1,778.63 0.58% $7.53 0.4231% A A+ 1
WEC Energy Group, Inc. WEC Utilities $1,440.25 0.47% $50.53 3.5082% A- A+ 1
Aqua America Inc WTR Utilities $989.62 0.32% $24.08 2.4329% A+ A 2
Misc Type ……….. Partial Totals Weight Yrly Dividends  Avg Yield …..832 …..9 …..82
Equity Stocks $272,266.07 88.68% $7,141.04 2.6228%
Investable US Dollars $7,283.77 2.37%
House Savings Cash US Dollars $22,951.66 7.48%
Miscellaneous Assets $4,524.75 1.47%
. .. Equity + Misc Weight …..2 ….. …..222 …..2222 …..223
Total $307,026.25 100.00%