Sunday, January 18, 2015

Watchlist: high yield

As I ponder my coming week's purchase, I am having difficulties in finding 3%+ yielding stocks. Many DGI stocks that I would love to purchase at fair value are approaching values that I consider too expensive. Below is a table I tabulated showing which stocks have yields above 3% that I am considering.

Note: Please double check the values' correctness if you are going to use the data. They were fetched off Finviz's website using a script I wrote.
Staples Forward PE PE Yield PEG Beta Debt/Eq Payout
PM 17.12 16.61 4.84% 2.85 0.91 No Data 61.90%
RAI 18.15 22.91 3.97% 2.71 0.50 1.10 86.40%
MO 18.99 24.33 3.92% 3.15 0.50 3.26 89.90%
DEO 17.92 20.48 3.75% 3.10 0.86 1.35 27.60%
UL 19.47 20.18 3.42% 4.92 0.79 0.97 30.40%
KRFT 19.54 16.65 3.35% 2.57 No Data 1.79 66.60%
GIS 17.63 22.35 3.07% 3.63 0.16 1.86 65.70%
SYY 19.64 25.65 3.00% 3.64 0.75 0.57 73.20%
Of the stocks above, I consider PM, MO, KRFT, GIS, and SYY as solid dividend stocks (MO+PM+KRFT used to be one company before the spinoffs). I have been slowly adding to PM in the last couple weeks. The position is getting rather large and I am a bit concerned with their debt load and the foreign exchange rates. My position in GIS is too large as well. I may add to KRFT even with its recent price rise. It offers a high yield with a moderate PE, and I consider KRFT to be core so I am willing to buy at fair value. SYY's dividend growth is too low for me (less than 12% chowder ratio).

Discretionary Forward PE PE Yield PEG Beta Debt/Eq Payout
MCD 16.83 17.97 3.72% 3.47 0.35 1.11 63.30%
Most discretionary stocks have low yields except McDonalds. I do not plan to add to MCD because I believe they are in a transitional period where future growth will remain stagnant.

Energy Forward PE PE Yield PEG Beta Debt/Eq Payout
CVX 18.11 9.68 4.07% 1.74 1.14 0.16 37.80%
KMI 4.24% 3.85 0.67 3.02 139.20%
XOM 18.67 11.46 3.03% 11.76 0.88 0.12 33.20%
With the fall in crude oil, I believe these are the safest bets in the energy sector. However, I want to wait a bit longer since I feel that the turnaround isn't happening as of yet.

MLPs Forward PE PE Yield PEG Beta Debt/Eq Payout
EPD 4.30% 3.35 0.70 1.25 180.60%
MMP 3.40% 1.46 0.52 1.65 70.00%
These MLPs' prices have been volatile lately due to the fall in the price of a barrel. I am highly considering EPD if it falls below $31. MMP is a bit expensive still for me. I am not a fan of owning MLPs because of tax complications.

Industrials Forward PE PE Yield PEG Beta Debt/Eq Payout
GE 13.43 15.94 3.90% 2.27 1.44 2.77 52.50%
CAT 12.28 13.57 3.34% 1.22 1.67 2.09 39.70%
EMR 14.11 19.79 3.12% 2.43 1.32 0.60 56.00%
LMT 16.92 19.69 3.08% 2.03 0.63 1.35 52.80%
I may consider adding to LMT. They are around fair value compared to their 15 year average PE. EMR may be another stock I will consider, as it has a high credit rating and solid dividend history. I do not like CAT due to its volatility or GE due to its past dividend record.

Telecom Forward PE PE Yield PEG Beta Debt/Eq Payout
T 13.17 10.37 5.56% 2.25 0.36 0.82 56.00%
VZ 12.89 9.96 4.58% 1.19 0.33 6.59 43.90%
I will most likely add to my position in T. I prioritize T over VZ due to the credit rating, and my position in T is not nearly as high as I would like it. I want T to be a large core holding in my portfolio.

Healthcare Forward PE PE Yield PEG Beta Debt/Eq Payout
ABBV 14.97 27.94 3.04% 2.05 No Data 3.18 70.40%
I have not done enough research on ABBV so far. The debt, PE, and payout ratio are making me uninterested.

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