Wednesday, November 21, 2018

Portfolio's 2018 dividend increase performance

All of the companies in my portfolio have finished announcing their dividends for 2018. The last one was BDX which announced a small 2.67% raise. They are busy working down the debt of their BCR acquisition. In the past BDX usually raised like clockwork at 10%. I think it's a good idea to focus on the acquisition since their credit rating and debt are in worse condition than before.

Below is the chart of the companies I hold and their increases. The cells show how much (in US dollars) each share pays on that given month. The gray boxes are regular payments and the light green show increases announced. The red text mean that the company decided to not announce an increase, on those months I was expecting an increase given their past history. GIS and KHC (food stocks) did not announce a hike this year. They have both kept constant given the challenging environment they are in. Both have safe payout ratios so I am not worried so far. GIS has held the dividend constant in the past but they have paid dividends constantly for a hundred or so years, so this is not the first time.



Company Ticker Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Raise 2018 yr, notes
Abbott Laboratories ABT 0.2800 0.2800 0.2800 0.2800 5.66% 0.265 previous
Automatic Data Proc, Inc ADP 0.6300 0.6300 0.6900 0.6900 21.05% irregular raise use12mo
Air Products & Chemicals, Inc APD 0.9500 1.1000 1.1000 1.1000 15.79%
Becton Dickinson and Co BDX 0.7500 0.7500 0.7500 0.7700 2.67%
Church & Dwight CHD 0.2180 0.2180 0.2180 0.2180 14.74% 0.19 before
Colgate-Palmolive Co CL 0.4000 0.4200 0.4200 0.4200 5.00%
Clorox Co CLX 0.8400 0.9600 0.9600 0.9600 14.29% move Aug->May early
Dominion Resources, Inc D 0.8350 0.8350 0.8350 0.8350 10.60% irregular raise use12mo
General Mills, Inc. GIS 0.4900 0.4900 0.4900 0.4900 0.00% No raise
General Dynamics Corporation GD 0.8400 0.9300 0.9300 0.9300 10.71%
Home Depot Inc HD 1.0300 1.0300 1.0300 1.0300 15.73%
Honeywell International Inc. HON 0.7450 0.7450 0.7450 0.8200 10.07%
Illinois Tool Works Inc. ITW 0.7800 0.7800 0.7800 1.0000 28.21%
Johnson & Johnson JNJ 0.8400 0.9000 0.9000 0.9000 7.14%
Kraft Heinz Co KHC 0.6250 0.6250 0.6250 0.6250 0.00% No raise
Kimberly-Clark KMB 0.9700 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 3.09%
The Coca-Cola Co KO 0.3900 0.3900 0.3900 0.3900 5.41% 0.37 previous
Mastercard Inc MA 0.2500 0.2500 0.2500 0.2500 13.64%
McDonald's Corporation MCD 1.0100 1.0100 1.0100 1.1600 14.85%
Medtronic, Inc. MDT 0.4600 0.4600 0.5000 0.5000 8.70%
McCormick & Company MKC 0.5200 0.5200 0.5200 0.5200 10.64% 0.47 previous
3M Co MMM 1.3600 1.3600 1.3600 1.3600 15.74% 1.175 previous
Altria Group Inc MO 0.6600 0.7000 0.7000 0.8000 21.21% Was 0.66 last yr
Microsoft Corporation MSFT 0.4200 0.4200 0.4200 0.4600 9.52%
NextEra Energy Inc NEE 1.1100 1.1100 1.1100 1.1100 12.92% 0.983 previous
Realty Income Corp O 0.1230 0.2190 0.2190 0.2200 0.2200 0.2200 0.2200 0.2200 0.2200 0.2210 0.2210 0.2210 4.25% irregular raise use12mo
PepsiCo PEP 0.8050 0.8050 0.9275 0.9275 15.22%
Procter & Gamble Co PG 0.6900 0.7170 0.7170 0.7170 3.91%
Philip Morris International Inc PM 1.0700 1.0700 1.1400 1.1400 6.54% irregular
Ross Stores Inc ROST 0.2250 0.2250 0.2250 0.2250 40.63% Was 0.160 last yr
Starbucks Corporation SBUX 0.3000 0.3000 0.3600 0.3600 20.00% Irregular
Stryker Corporation SYK 0.4700 0.4700 0.4700 0.4700 10.59% 0.425 previous
AT&T Inc T 0.5000 0.5000 0.5000 0.5000 2.04%
TJX Companies Inc TJX 0.3130 0.3900 0.3900 0.1950 24.60% split
Visa Inc V 0.2100 0.2100 0.2100 0.2500 28.20% irregular raise use12mo
WEC Energy Group, Inc WEC 0.5530 0.5530 0.5530 0.5530 6.35% 0.52 previous
Xcel Energy Inc XEL 0.3600 0.3800 0.3800 0.3800 5.56%

I then took each of the stocks' dividend increase and also the weighting of that stock in my portfolio. I used these two data to calculate the portfolio's average dividend yield and dividend hike. In 2018 the portfolio generated a dividend increase of 13.20% all by itself (note this increase is independent of my individual contributions throughout the year). And the portfolio sits at around 2.76% yield. Since all dividends are reinvested the portfolio generated a 13.20+2.76 = 15.96% increase in income by itself in 2018.

. Weighted Div Raise Weighted Yield
13.20% 2.76%
This increase is huge. I think the bump this year is largely due to tax cuts enacted by the recent administration. I don't expect such a huge increase to continue into future years. I plotted below data from past years for comparison. Usually total income growth is in the 12% range, so 16% is way over my goals.

Year Dividend Growth Dividend Yield Total Income Growth
2014 10.30% 2.81% 13.11%
2015 9.68% 2.94% 12.62%
2016 10.11% 2.76% 12.87%
2017 9.49% 2.62% 12.10%
2018 13.20% 2.76% 15.96%
Dividends are the key to my investing strategy. The income the assets generate and the growth of that income by itself is also very important. Which is why I track them so closely.

Happy investing
-YD

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