- BBB+ Credit rating or higher. A- or higher is preferred.
- Dividend streak of 25 years+ preferred. 15 years+ is ok but a higher margin of safety in price is required.
- Yield + 5yr Average Div Growth = 12%, this will be 8% for utilities
- Earnings consistency, if the business is cyclical there needs to be a higher margin of safety in price
- PE is at or below fair value (indicated by FastGraphs)
- Price is below fair value as indicated by Morningstar and S&P, buying stocks of fair value or slightly above fair value are ok for core positions.
Below are stocks that I am eyeballing at the moment. I have taken price guidance figures from M* and S&P.
Ticker | Price | Morningstar | S&P | Jefferson Valuation |
WMT | $79 | $83 | $78 | Low Risk |
XOM | $87 | $98 | $95 | Low Risk |
CVX | $110 | $114 | $120 | Low Risk |
V | $65 | $69 | $67 | Med Risk |
MA | $89 | $104 | $107 | Med Risk |
PEP | $96 | $95 | $84 | Least Risk |
UTX | $117 | $116 | $128 | Least Risk |
GWW | $242 | $272 | $235 | Low Risk |
ROST | $103 | $109 | $111 | Low Risk |
TJX | $66 | $72 | $68 | Least Risk |
MCD | $95 | $98 | $84 | Low Risk |
BDX | $142 | $165 | $155 | Least Risk |
KMI | $44 | $43 | $45 | Most Risk |
The yellow indicate 12 month targets since S&P does not have a fair value estimate. In the coming weeks I will be planning to add to the following companies. I prefer sprinkling my contributions over several companies of fair value instead of dumping it all in one stock. Sharebuilder allows me 12 automatic investments every month.
Visa - a bit expensive but I believe in Visa's growth prospects.
Mastercard - Healthy discount according to sources above
UTX - add to existing position, moderate yield and it's of fair value I think.
TJX - add a small amount to my position
ROST - add a small amount to my position
BDX - initiate a position in this consistent dividend champion.
KMI - I will most likely add to this at the end of the month to get some more before the ex-dividend
WMT - add a small amount. Their dividend growth was very small this year but I still consider this a core position in my portfolio.
I do not feel like adding more to my oil major stocks at the moment.
I was going to add to PM last week but the stock shot up 9% after an earnings beat. I probably will sit out until next quarter to pick some more up if it falls. My existing holdings in PM and MO are quite a large percentage of my portfolio already.
Visa - a bit expensive but I believe in Visa's growth prospects.
Mastercard - Healthy discount according to sources above
UTX - add to existing position, moderate yield and it's of fair value I think.
TJX - add a small amount to my position
ROST - add a small amount to my position
BDX - initiate a position in this consistent dividend champion.
KMI - I will most likely add to this at the end of the month to get some more before the ex-dividend
WMT - add a small amount. Their dividend growth was very small this year but I still consider this a core position in my portfolio.
I do not feel like adding more to my oil major stocks at the moment.
I was going to add to PM last week but the stock shot up 9% after an earnings beat. I probably will sit out until next quarter to pick some more up if it falls. My existing holdings in PM and MO are quite a large percentage of my portfolio already.
PM's jump caught me by surprise, too, as I was looking to add more shares. Oh, well... fortunately I have some skin in the game.
ReplyDeleteTake care!
Excellent watch list and strategy. I added my second round of PM in March - mostly to average down on a good company. I wasn't expecting them to jump quickly either.
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